Kronos, a foundation model, was tested against Brownian motion for 5-minute BTC price forecasts; results show no significant outperformance in recent data.
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Week Three — Foundation model vs Brownian motion. Kronos on five-minute BTC.
Kronos foundation model tested against Brownian motion for 5-minute BTC predictions; results show no significant outperformance, raising questions about AI trading edge.
AI Trading Bot — Week Two: The candidate edge collapsed
The promising BTC fair-value strategy and backup hypothesis failed, with all experiments in the red after a week of trading. Details inside.
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