Is The Whisky Market Waking Up After The Covid Binge?
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TL;DR

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Rare whisky valuations surged during the pandemic and have since dropped sharply: the Rare Whisky 101 Icon 100 index rose 58% from just before the March 2020 lockdowns to a May 2022 peak, then fell 42% to a post-pandemic low. The source report says trophy bottles have held up better, but does not provide figures showing how much better or evidence that the broader market has recovered.

The Rare Whisky 101 Icon 100 index fell 42% from its May 2022 peak to a post-pandemic low, reversing much of the surge that lifted valuations by 58% between just before the March 2020 lockdowns and May 2022. MoneyWeek’s report describes a sharp downturn after a pandemic-era rush into rare single malts, while saying trophy bottles have held up better than the wider group of tracked whiskies.

The Icon 100, compiled by market watchers Rare Whisky 101, tracks valuations for 100 sought-after bottles. Its reported rise and fall measure the index’s valuations, not returns earned by every whisky owner. The figures also do not establish how much an individual bottle could sell for, or how quickly it could be sold.

MoneyWeek links the boom to the pandemic’s low-interest-rate period, when collectors and speculators bought rare bottles while spending more time at home. The report says the market had already enjoyed a strong decade before Covid, then climbed rapidly from just before the first lockdown in March 2020 through its May 2022 peak.

The subsequent downturn is attributed in the report to the end of lockdowns and rising interest rates, which gave investors more conventional places to seek returns. The Icon 100 then dropped to a post-pandemic low in the month preceding the report. The source does not specify that month by name, provide the index’s latest level, or say whether the low marked a lasting bottom.

At a glance
reportWhen: The index reached its peak in May 2022…
The developmentThe Rare Whisky 101 Icon 100 index has fallen 42% from its May 2022 peak to a post-pandemic low, after rising 58% during the pandemic-era boom.

Rare Bottle Values Face a Reset

The fall matters because rare whisky had attracted buyers partly as an investment, not only as a drink or collectible. A 42% index decline from the peak signals that valuations for the tracked bottles have weakened considerably after the boom. It also cautions against treating the pandemic-era price rise as a reliable guide to future performance.

The report’s distinction between trophy bottles and the wider index points to an uneven market. If the most sought-after bottles have retained more of their value, that does not mean the broader market has recovered. MoneyWeek provides no separate price series or percentage change for trophy bottles, so the scale of that relative resilience is not quantified.

For readers, the figures are a reminder that collectible assets can be sensitive to changes in interest rates, investor appetite and demand. Index valuations are not the same as guaranteed sale prices: the report does not account for transaction costs, individual bottle condition, or whether a seller can find a buyer at a quoted valuation.

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From Lockdown Boom to Decline

The price surge followed a period in which low interest rates made conventional savings and investment returns less attractive to some buyers. At the same time, the report says, people stuck at home spent on rare single malts, with some hoping their bottles would continue to appreciate. The market’s earlier decade of growth provided a backdrop for that optimism.

The turning point described by MoneyWeek came as lockdowns ended and interest rates rose. Investors could seek better returns from more conventional investments, while the unusual conditions that had supported pandemic buying receded. From its May 2022 high, the Icon 100 fell until it reached the report’s stated post-pandemic low.

This is a report on index movement, not a complete account of whisky sales. The material supplied does not include auction volumes, sale prices for individual bottles, or a comparison with other collectible markets. It therefore shows the broad direction of valuations tracked by the index, but not every part of the trade or the experience of every collector.

“From just before the first lockdown in March 2020 until the market peaked in May 2022, valuations climbed 58%.”

— MoneyWeek, citing the Rare Whisky 101 Icon 100 index

Recovery Signals Remain Unclear

The supplied report does not establish whether whisky valuations have started to recover. It identifies a post-pandemic low, but gives no dated current index reading, subsequent movement, or evidence that the market has turned upward. The timing of that low is also unspecified beyond “last month” in the report.

It is also unclear how the index’s decline translates into actual selling prices. The source gives no transaction data, auction results, trading volumes, or methodology details beyond identifying the Icon 100 as a valuation index of 100 sought-after bottles. And although trophy bottles are said to have fared better, the report offers no comparison figures. The relative performance and breadth of any recovery cannot be determined from the supplied information.

Watch for Index and Sale Data

The next useful evidence would be updated Icon 100 readings showing whether valuations have continued to fall, stabilized, or risen from the reported low. A dated release would also clarify the timing that the source leaves unclear. Until then, the available figures document a boom followed by a steep decline, not a confirmed market rebound.

For a fuller picture, subsequent reporting would need to compare index valuations with completed sales and separate results for trophy bottles and other tracked whiskies. The supplied source sets out no scheduled index update or market forecast, so the timing of further evidence is not confirmed.

Key Questions

How much did rare whisky valuations rise during the pandemic boom?

The Rare Whisky 101 Icon 100 rose 58% from just before the March 2020 lockdowns to its peak in May 2022, according to the MoneyWeek report.

How far has the index fallen from its peak?

The report says the Icon 100 fell 42% from its May 2022 peak to a post-pandemic low. It does not provide a dated latest index reading in the supplied material.

Have trophy bottles avoided the decline?

MoneyWeek says trophy bottles have held up much better than the wider market. It provides no separate percentage figures, so the extent of that resilience is unclear.

Does the report confirm that the whisky market is recovering?

No. It reports a post-pandemic low but does not provide evidence of a subsequent rise or a confirmed recovery. The market’s direction after that low remains unclear from the available information.

Source: moneyweek.com

This content is for general information only and is not financial, tax or legal advice. Consult a qualified professional for decisions about your money.
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